Despite what you may have heard, China isn't the country's biggest creditor. America is. The bulk of the national debt - soon to exceed a staggering $17 trillion - is held by the Federal Reserve, Social Security system, various pension plans for civil service workers and military personnel, U.S. banks, mutual funds, private pension plans, insurance companies and individual domestic investors.Now think about what the AP scribe has said -- the three biggest holders of U.S. government debt are the Federal Reserve (the U.S. government), the Social Security system (the U.S. government), and various pensions plans for civil service workers and military personnel (the U.S. government). How can the U.S. government owe the U.S. government? Are there trust funds set up where surpluses are deposited and segregated from other government assets? No. The AP story is telling us to find comfort from phony balancing entries in spreadsheets, a system Bernie Madoff would be proud of -- nothing else.
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The reality is every penny of the almost $7 trillion the government owing the government debt will eventually have to be funded by going out to the financial markets and asking, more like begging, the likes of China et. al. to pony up the resources. The burdens and repayment responsibility will be passed on to our children and grandchildren.
It so happens, the financial press came out later in the week with the following lead,
Foreigners now hold more than $13 trillion in American securities, a record set as the U.S. seeks to assert itself as the safest port in troubled global waters.
China and Japan combined owned more than $3.4 trillion, including $2.4 trillion in debt, a number that has grown since the data set was compiled.The total value of U.S. stocks and bonds under foreign ownership rose 6.5 percent in 2012, with stocks actually rising more on a percentage basis, according to the most recent data from the U.S. Treasury.
Foreign holdings have more than doubled since 2005 and are getting close to the $15 trillion total size of the U.S. economy.
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Outstanding U.S. Bond Debt, Source: http://www.freddiemac.com/investors/pdffiles/investor-presentation.pdf |
Also, the AP story only treats treasury debt as U.S. government debt when that is barely half of total marketable U.S. debt (i.e., the non-accounting gimmick stuff). Total U.S. debt includes agency debt as well the Freddie, Fannie, FHA and Ginnie Mae portions of Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS or what was known as CDO's during the financial crisis), totalling $10.3 trillion, compared to $10.9 trillion in marketable treasury securities referenced in the AP story. AP is off by half. How would you like to wake up some day and find your $250k mortgage was really a $500k? The AP would say, no problem because you can set up a fund to pay yourself. Don't worry, party on, borrow more. The AP has told me it is all Okay.
Your children and grandchildren will pay for the fraud and the excesses, more than you will ever know.
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